John Lineker vs Jose Maria
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-11-0Record41-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'4"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
OCS Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
John Lineker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Jose Maria carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1755
If they lose-27→ 1723
If they win+40→ 1503
If they lose-8→ 1455
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John LinekerJose Maria
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Lineker84%
Jose Maria 16%Elo baseline: 84%
The Combat Edge model makes John Lineker a 84% favorite over Jose Maria in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (84%).
John Lineker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1463, a 287-point edge.
Jose Maria enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Lineker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Jose Maria 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.