Combat Edge Intelligence

John Lineker vs Louis Gaudinot

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Lineker
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John Lineker

“Hands of Stone”

37-11-0FeatherweightONE

1750Great

Tale of the tape

37-11-0Record8-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'3"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight125 lbs
OCS Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

John Lineker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Louis Gaudinot carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John LinekerNow 1750
If they win+8→ 1758
If they lose-24→ 1726
Louis GaudinotNow 1560
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-8→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.34
40%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.42
56%
Strike defense
49%
0.56
Takedown avg.
0.57
58%
Takedown accuracy
40%
68%
Takedown defense
31%
0.64
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

John LinekerLouis Gaudinot
1550160016501700175020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

18 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
4 (11%)
Submission
2 (25%)
14 (39%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

John Lineker83%
Louis Gaudinot 17%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes John Lineker a 83% favorite over Louis Gaudinot in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

John Lineker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1560, a 190-point edge.

John Lineker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Louis Gaudinot 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.