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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Lineker vs Michael McDonald

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
John Lineker
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John Lineker

“Hands of Stone”

37-11-0FeatherweightONE

1763Great

Tale of the tape

37-11-0Record19-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'8"
TBDReach70,0"
145 lbsWeight136 lbs
OCS Jiu-JitsuTeamLast Stand Fight Team

What's at stake

John Lineker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michael McDonald carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John LinekerNow 1763
If they win+15→ 1778
If they lose-17→ 1746
Michael McDonaldNow 1736
If they win+17→ 1753
If they lose-15→ 1721

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
40%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.76
56%
Strike defense
57%
0.56
Takedown avg.
1.09
58%
Takedown accuracy
67%
68%
Takedown defense
52%
0.64
Submission avg.
1.45

Trajectory

John LinekerMichael McDonald
17001750180020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

18 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (53%)
4 (11%)
Submission
6 (32%)
14 (39%)
Decision
3 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

John Lineker59%
Michael McDonald 41%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes John Lineker a 59% favorite over Michael McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

John Lineker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1736, a 27-point edge.

Michael McDonald enters on a 2-fight win streak.

John Lineker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Michael McDonald 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.