John Lineker vs Michael McDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-11-0Record19-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'8"
TBDReach70,0"
145 lbsWeight136 lbs
OCS Jiu-JitsuTeamLast Stand Fight Team
What's at stake
John Lineker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michael McDonald carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1765
If they lose-17→ 1733
If they win+17→ 1752
If they lose-15→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John LinekerMichael McDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael McDonald54%
John Lineker 46%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael McDonald a 54% favorite over John Lineker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Lineker's way (48%).
John Lineker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1735, a 15-point edge.
Michael McDonald enters on a 2-fight win streak.
John Lineker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Michael McDonald 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.