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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Lineker vs Payton Talbott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Lineker
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John Lineker

“Hands of Stone”

37-11-0FeatherweightONE

1763Great

Tale of the tape

37-11-0Record12-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'10"
TBDReach70"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
OCS Jiu-JitsuTeamReno Academy of Combat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John LinekerNow 1763
If they win+16→ 1779
If they lose-16→ 1747
Payton TalbottNow 1761
If they win+16→ 1777
If they lose-16→ 1745

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
6.62
40%
Strike accuracy
57%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.41
56%
Strike defense
47%
0.56
Takedown avg.
0.78
58%
Takedown accuracy
0%
68%
Takedown defense
78%
0.64
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

John LinekerPayton Talbott
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

18 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
4 (11%)
Submission
1 (8%)
14 (39%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Payton Talbott71%
John Lineker 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Payton Talbott a 71% favorite over John Lineker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Lineker's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1763 vs 1761), separated by just 2 points.

Payton Talbott enters on a 3-fight win streak.

John Lineker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Payton Talbott 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.