Combat Edge Intelligence

John Lineker vs Phil Harris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Lineker
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John Lineker

“Hands of Stone”

37-11-0FeatherweightONE

1750Great

Tale of the tape

37-11-0Record22-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight125 lbs
OCS Jiu-JitsuTeamGym01

What's at stake

John Lineker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Phil Harris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John LinekerNow 1750
If they win+9→ 1759
If they lose-23→ 1727
Phil HarrisNow 1579
If they win+17→ 1596
If they lose-7→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.34
40%
Strike accuracy
27%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.16
56%
Strike defense
68%
0.56
Takedown avg.
1.76
58%
Takedown accuracy
22%
68%
Takedown defense
60%
0.64
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John LinekerPhil Harris
1600165017001750201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

18 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (18%)
4 (11%)
Submission
13 (59%)
14 (39%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

John Lineker84%
Phil Harris 16%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes John Lineker a 84% favorite over Phil Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

John Lineker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1579, a 171-point edge.

Phil Harris enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Lineker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Phil Harris 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.