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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Lineker vs Raoni Barcelos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Lineker
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John Lineker

“Hands of Stone”

37-11-0FeatherweightONE

1763Great

Tale of the tape

37-11-0Record22-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'7"
TBDReach67"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
OCS Jiu-JitsuTeamLaerte Barcelos Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John LinekerNow 1763
If they win+16→ 1779
If they lose-16→ 1747
Raoni BarcelosNow 1759
If they win+12→ 1771
If they lose-12→ 1747

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
40%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.24
56%
Strike defense
61%
0.56
Takedown avg.
2.51
58%
Takedown accuracy
3%
68%
Takedown defense
88%
0.64
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

John LinekerRaoni Barcelos
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

18 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
4 (11%)
Submission
3 (14%)
14 (39%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

John Lineker57%
Raoni Barcelos 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes John Lineker a 57% favorite over Raoni Barcelos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1763 vs 1759), separated by just 4 points.

John Lineker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.