John Lineker vs TJ Dillashaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-11-0Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
OCS Jiu-JitsuTeamThe Treigning Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1767
If they lose-15→ 1735
If they win+15→ 1778
If they lose-17→ 1746
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John LinekerTJ Dillashaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Lineker58%
TJ Dillashaw 42%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes John Lineker a 58% favorite over TJ Dillashaw in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans TJ Dillashaw's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1763), separated by just 13 points.
John Lineker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, TJ Dillashaw 65%.
John Lineker and TJ Dillashaw share 1 common opponent: Cory Sandhagen.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.