Combat Edge Intelligence

John Lineker vs Yasuhiro Urushitani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Lineker
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John Lineker

“Hands of Stone”

37-11-0FeatherweightONE

1750Great

Tale of the tape

37-11-0Record21-8-6
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight125 lbs
OCS Jiu-JitsuTeamTribe Tokyo MMA

What's at stake

John Lineker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Yasuhiro Urushitani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John LinekerNow 1750
If they win+10→ 1760
If they lose-22→ 1728
Yasuhiro UrushitaniNow 1608
If they win+17→ 1625
If they lose-7→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
40%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.71
56%
Strike defense
65%
0.56
Takedown avg.
0
58%
Takedown accuracy
0%
68%
Takedown defense
80%
0.64
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John LinekerYasuhiro Urushitani
16001650170017502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

18 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (19%)
4 (11%)
Submission
1 (5%)
14 (39%)
Decision
16 (76%)

Combat Edge model read

John Lineker84%
Yasuhiro Urushitani 16%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes John Lineker a 84% favorite over Yasuhiro Urushitani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

John Lineker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1608, a 142-point edge.

Yasuhiro Urushitani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Lineker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Yasuhiro Urushitani 24%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.