John MaCalolooy vs Nam Phan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record21-17-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'6"
N/AReachTBD
135 lbsWeight141 lbs
Dragons Den MMATeamNam Phan MMA Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John MaCalolooyNam Phan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John MaCalolooy60%
Nam Phan 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes John MaCalolooy a 60% favorite over Nam Phan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nam Phan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1539), separated by just 3 points.
Nam Phan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John MaCalolooy finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Nam Phan 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.