John MaCalolooy vs Nelson Rojas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'7"
N/AReach-
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Dragons Den MMATeamTeam Weichafe
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John MaCalolooyNelson Rojas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nelson Rojas56%
John MaCalolooy 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nelson Rojas a 56% favorite over John MaCalolooy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John MaCalolooy's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1533), separated by just 3 points.
John MaCalolooy finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Nelson Rojas 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.