John Maguire vs Kacper Cholewa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-13-0Record3-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
169 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tsunami GymTeamSportowe Pulawy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John MaguireKacper Cholewa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kacper Cholewa52%
John Maguire 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kacper Cholewa a 52% favorite over John Maguire in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1561), separated by just 1 points.
John Maguire enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kacper Cholewa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
John Maguire finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Kacper Cholewa 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.