Combat Edge Intelligence

John Maguire vs Kevin Robledo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record6-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5′6″
TBDReach-
169 lbsWeight150 lbs
Tsunami GymTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John MaguireNow 1559
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547
Kevin RobledoNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.41
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
2.80
Takedown avg.
TBD
46%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
78%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.08
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John MaguireKevin Robledo
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (12%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
16 (62%)
Submission
3 (50%)
7 (27%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Robledo61%
John Maguire 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Robledo a 61% favorite over John Maguire in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Maguire's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1559), separated by just 0 points.

John Maguire enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kevin Robledo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Maguire finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Robledo 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.