Combat Edge Intelligence

John Makdessi vs Kyle Watson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record13-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
68"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamHIT Squad

What's at stake

John Makdessi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Kyle Watson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John MakdessiNow 1646
If they win+11→ 1657
If they lose-21→ 1625
Kyle WatsonNow 1524
If they win+21→ 1545
If they lose-11→ 1513

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.52
Sig. strikes / min
3.67
50%
Strike accuracy
35%
4.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.25
68%
Strike defense
63%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
86%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John MakdessiKyle Watson
1550160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
0 (0%)
Submission
10 (77%)
9 (50%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

John Makdessi75%
Kyle Watson 25%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes John Makdessi a 75% favorite over Kyle Watson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

John Makdessi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1524, a 122-point edge.

John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kyle Watson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Makdessi finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Watson 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.