John Makdessi vs Marian Ziółkowski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record26-11-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
68"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Tristar GymTeamNemesis Pro Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John MakdessiMarian Ziółkowski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marian Ziółkowski54%
John Makdessi 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marian Ziółkowski a 54% favorite over John Makdessi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Makdessi's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.
John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Makdessi finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marian Ziółkowski 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.