Combat Edge Intelligence

John Makdessi vs Pat Audinwood

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pat Audinwood
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Pat Audinwood

“Awesomely Awesome”

11-2-1LightweightLFC

1653Good

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record11-2-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
68"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Bombsquad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John MakdessiNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Pat AudinwoodNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.52
Sig. strikes / min
1.17
50%
Strike accuracy
13%
4.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
68%
Strike defense
41%
0
Takedown avg.
0.80
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
86%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John MakdessiPat Audinwood
165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (55%)
9 (50%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Pat Audinwood60%
John Makdessi 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Pat Audinwood a 60% favorite over John Makdessi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1653), separated by just 7 points.

John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Pat Audinwood enters on a 2-fight win streak.

John Makdessi finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Pat Audinwood 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.