John Makdessi vs Sam Stout
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record20-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
68"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Tompkins
What's at stake
John Makdessi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Sam Stout carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1660
If they lose-18→ 1628
If they win+14→ 1607
If they lose-10→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John MakdessiSam Stout
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Makdessi54%
Sam Stout 46%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes John Makdessi a 54% favorite over Sam Stout in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
John Makdessi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1593, a 53-point edge.
John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John Makdessi finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Sam Stout 50%.
John Makdessi and Sam Stout share 1 common opponent: Ross Pearson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.