John Makdessi vs Shane Campbell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record24-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
68"Reach71,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamShaolin Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1661
If they lose-17→ 1629
If they win+12→ 1646
If they lose-12→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John MakdessiShane Campbell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane Campbell62%
John Makdessi 38%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Campbell a 62% favorite over John Makdessi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Makdessi's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1634), separated by just 12 points.
John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Makdessi finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.
Shane Campbell carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.