Combat Edge Intelligence

John Makdessi vs Stan Dorsainvil

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record6-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"Reach76"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Tristar GymTeamCombat Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John MakdessiNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Stan DorsainvilNow 1645
If they win+24→ 1669
If they lose-24→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
68%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John MakdessiStan Dorsainvil
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (50%)
9 (50%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Stan Dorsainvil88%
John Makdessi 12%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Stan Dorsainvil a 88% favorite over John Makdessi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Makdessi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.

John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Stan Dorsainvil enters on a 6-fight win streak.

John Makdessi finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Stan Dorsainvil 67%.

Stan Dorsainvil carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.