John Marsh vs Matheus Scheffel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-7-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
222 lbsWeight262 lbs
Team Neutral GroundsTeamCM System
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1534
If they lose-16→ 1502
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John MarshMatheus Scheffel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting John Marsh and Matheus Scheffel within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1521), separated by just 3 points.
John Marsh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
John Marsh finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Scheffel 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.