John Moraga vs Sergio Pettis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record25-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66,0"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight134 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamRoufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Sergio Pettis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — John Moraga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1714
If they lose-10→ 1690
If they win+10→ 1762
If they lose-14→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John MoragaSergio Pettis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergio Pettis73%
John Moraga 27%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Pettis a 73% favorite over John Moraga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Sergio Pettis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1700, a 52-point edge.
John Moraga finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Pettis 36%.
Sergio Pettis carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.