John Moraga vs Wilson Reis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record28-14-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'4"
66,0"Reach65,0"
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
John Moraga is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Wilson Reis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1710
If they lose-14→ 1686
If they win+14→ 1667
If they lose-10→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John MoragaWilson Reis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Moraga65%
Wilson Reis 35%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes John Moraga a 65% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
John Moraga holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1700 to 1653, a 47-point edge.
Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Moraga finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.