Combat Edge Intelligence

John-Olav Einemo vs Marek Samociuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record9-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
251 lbsWeight264 lbs
Golden GloryTeamUniq Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John-Olav EinemoNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525
Marek SamociukNow 1551
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
1.73
Takedown avg.
TBD
56%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
44%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John-Olav EinemoMarek Samociuk
150015501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
4 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Marek Samociuk52%
John-Olav Einemo 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marek Samociuk a 52% favorite over John-Olav Einemo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1551), separated by just 2 points.

Marek Samociuk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John-Olav Einemo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marek Samociuk 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.