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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Paul Elias vs Valeri Mariov Atanasov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record4-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Pro BuhaweTeamDesant MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John Paul EliasNow 1538
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514
Valeri Mariov AtanasovNow 1536
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1479 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

John Paul EliasValeri Mariov Atanasov
1550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
1 (33%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Valeri Mariov Atanasov52%
John Paul Elias 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Valeri Mariov Atanasov a 52% favorite over John Paul Elias in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Paul Elias's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1536), separated by just 2 points.

John Paul Elias finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Valeri Mariov Atanasov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.