Combat Edge Intelligence

John Phillips vs Kevin Holland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Phillips

John Phillips

“The Welsh Wrecking Machine”

22-11-0MiddleweightUFC

1623Solid

Tale of the tape

22-11-0Record29-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
75,0"Reach81"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamPhalanx MMA Academy

What's at stake

Kevin Holland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — John Phillips carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John PhillipsNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-8→ 1615
Kevin HollandNow 1736
If they win+8→ 1744
If they lose-16→ 1720

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1740 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.72
Sig. strikes / min
4.24
34%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
49%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
0.79
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
8%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

John PhillipsKevin Holland
16501700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (91%)
KO/TKO
14 (48%)
2 (9%)
Submission
9 (31%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Holland79%
John Phillips 21%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Holland a 79% favorite over John Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Kevin Holland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1623, a 113-point edge.

John Phillips enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Phillips finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Holland 79%.

Kevin Holland carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.