John Phillips vs Khamzat Chimaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-11-0Record15-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
75,0"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamAllstars Training Center
What's at stake
Khamzat Chimaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — John Phillips carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1641
If they lose-6→ 1617
If they win+8→ 1836
If they lose-24→ 1804
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John PhillipsKhamzat Chimaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Chimaev92%
John Phillips 8%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Chimaev a 92% favorite over John Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Khamzat Chimaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1828 to 1623, a 205-point edge.
John Phillips enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Phillips finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Chimaev 80%.
John Phillips and Khamzat Chimaev share 1 common opponent: Kevin Holland.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.