Combat Edge Intelligence

John Polakowski vs Tysen Herken

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record0-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The PitTeamIronworks Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John PolakowskiNow 1476
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452
Tysen HerkenNow 1476
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.14
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
4%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.05
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John PolakowskiTysen Herken
1500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tysen Herken75%
John Polakowski 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tysen Herken a 75% favorite over John Polakowski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Polakowski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1476 vs 1476), separated by just 0 points.

John Polakowski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.