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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Richard vs Sergio Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-6-1Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
229 lbsWeight265 lbs

What's at stake

Sergio Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — John Richard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John RichardNow 1411
If they win+19→ 1430
If they lose-13→ 1398
Sergio MartinezNow 1471
If they win+20→ 1491
If they lose-28→ 1443

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1481 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

John RichardSergio Martinez
14001450150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (100%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergio Martinez73%
John Richard 27%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Martinez a 73% favorite over John Richard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Sergio Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1411, a 60-point edge.

John Richard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

John Richard finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.