John Salgado vs Samuel Bily
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-8-1Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
160 lbsWeight174 lbs
Team Inner GTeam
What's at stake
Samuel Bily is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — John Salgado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1421
If they lose-14→ 1389
If they win+21→ 1468
If they lose-27→ 1420
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John SalgadoSamuel Bily
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Samuel Bily65%
John Salgado 35%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Samuel Bily a 65% favorite over John Salgado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Samuel Bily holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1447 to 1403, a 44-point edge.
John Salgado enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Samuel Bily enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Salgado finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.