Combat Edge Intelligence

John Salter vs Nursulton Ruziboev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record37-9-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'5"
TBDReach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John SalterNow 1725
If they win+12→ 1737
If they lose-12→ 1713
Nursulton RuziboevNow 1726
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.35
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
24%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.68
69%
Strike defense
49%
2.61
Takedown avg.
1.36
40%
Takedown accuracy
20%
67%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

John SalterNursulton Ruziboev
17001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
13 (35%)
10 (53%)
Submission
21 (57%)
2 (11%)
Decision
3 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Nursulton Ruziboev63%
John Salter 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nursulton Ruziboev a 63% favorite over John Salter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1726), separated by just 1 points.

Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

John Salter finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Nursulton Ruziboev 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.