Combat Edge Intelligence

John Teixeira vs Joshua Weems

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-9-2Record17-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach69"
146 lbsWeight154 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamBlack Sails MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John TeixeiraNow 1599
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
Joshua WeemsNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
5.25
35%
Strike accuracy
65%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.34
63%
Strike defense
61%
1
Takedown avg.
4.77
27%
Takedown accuracy
40%
71%
Takedown defense
100%
0.67
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John TeixeiraJoshua Weems
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
10 (37%)
Submission
9 (53%)
9 (33%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Weems64%
John Teixeira 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Weems a 64% favorite over John Teixeira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.

John Teixeira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

John Teixeira finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Weems 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.