Johnny Bedford vs Marcos Vinicius
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-14-1Record1-3-0
BantamweightDivisionStrawweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fitness Fight FactoryTeamZe Mario Team
What's at stake
Johnny Bedford is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Marcos Vinicius carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1610
If they lose-18→ 1586
If they win+35→ 1464
If they lose-13→ 1416
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johnny BedfordMarcos Vinicius
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Bedford72%
Marcos Vinicius 28%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Bedford a 72% favorite over Marcos Vinicius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Johnny Bedford holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1604 to 1429, a 175-point edge.
Johnny Bedford enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcos Vinicius enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Johnny Bedford finishes 83% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.