Combat Edge Intelligence

Johnny Bedford vs Rani Yahya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-14-1Record28-12-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fitness Fight FactoryTeamConstrictor Team

What's at stake

Rani Yahya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Johnny Bedford carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Johnny BedfordNow 1604
If they win+15→ 1619
If they lose-9→ 1595
Rani YahyaNow 1690
If they win+9→ 1699
If they lose-15→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.53
Sig. strikes / min
1.71
51%
Strike accuracy
39%
1.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
63%
Strike defense
50%
1.83
Takedown avg.
2.73
63%
Takedown accuracy
31%
63%
Takedown defense
29%
0
Submission avg.
1.82

Trajectory

Johnny BedfordRani Yahya
1600165017002015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (43%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
9 (39%)
Submission
21 (75%)
4 (17%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Rani Yahya72%
Johnny Bedford 28%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Rani Yahya a 72% favorite over Johnny Bedford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Rani Yahya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1604, a 86-point edge.

Johnny Bedford enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rani Yahya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Johnny Bedford finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Rani Yahya 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.