Johnny Case vs Landry Ward
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-10-1Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
72,5"Reach71"
159 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA LabTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1644
If they lose-12→ 1620
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Johnny CaseLandry Ward
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Case57%
Landry Ward 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Case a 57% favorite over Landry Ward in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1632), separated by just 0 points.
Landry Ward enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Johnny Case finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Landry Ward 45%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.