Johnny Case vs Mandel Nallo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-10-1Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72,5"Reach75"
159 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA LabTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johnny CaseMandel Nallo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Johnny Case and Mandel Nallo within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.
Johnny Case finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Mandel Nallo 100%.
Mandel Nallo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.