Johnny Case vs Yan Cabral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-10-1Record15-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72,5"Reach73,0"
159 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamAranha Barcelona BJJ
What's at stake
Yan Cabral is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Johnny Case carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1654
If they lose-10→ 1630
If they win+13→ 1711
If they lose-19→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Johnny CaseYan Cabral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Johnny Case and Yan Cabral within a point of even.
Yan Cabral holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1640, a 58-point edge.
Yan Cabral enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Johnny Case finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Yan Cabral 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.