Johnny Eblen vs Kamaru Usman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-1-0Record21-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
74"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1830
If they lose-16→ 1798
If they win+12→ 1823
If they lose-12→ 1799
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1800 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Johnny EblenKamaru Usman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Johnny Eblen and Kamaru Usman within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1814 vs 1811), separated by just 3 points.
Johnny Eblen enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Johnny Eblen finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kamaru Usman 48%.
Kamaru Usman carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.