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Combat Edge Intelligence

Johnny Eblen vs Sean Strickland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-1-0Record31-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
74"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Johnny EblenNow 1814
If they win+16→ 1830
If they lose-16→ 1798
Sean StricklandNow 1824
If they win+12→ 1836
If they lose-12→ 1812

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1724 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
6.04
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.57
Not available
Strike defense
61%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.71
Not available
Takedown accuracy
64%
Not available
Takedown defense
77%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Johnny EblenSean Strickland
1800202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
2 (11%)
Submission
4 (13%)
9 (50%)
Decision
15 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Strickland51%
Johnny Eblen 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Strickland a 51% favorite over Johnny Eblen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1814 vs 1824), separated by just 10 points.

Johnny Eblen enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Johnny Eblen finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.

Sean Strickland carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.