Johnny Eduardo vs Matthew Lopez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-13-0Record10-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach69.00
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamGenesis Training Center
What's at stake
Johnny Eduardo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Matthew Lopez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1614
If they lose-15→ 1590
If they win+30→ 1542
If they lose-18→ 1494
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johnny EduardoMatthew Lopez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Johnny Eduardo and Matthew Lopez within a point of even.
Johnny Eduardo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1605 to 1512, a 93-point edge.
Johnny Eduardo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matthew Lopez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Johnny Eduardo finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Matthew Lopez 80%.
Johnny Eduardo and Matthew Lopez share 2 common opponents: Alejandro Perez and Raphael Assunção.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.