Johnny Eduardo vs Raphael Assunção
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-13-0Record28-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
TBDReach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Raphael Assunção is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Johnny Eduardo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1620
If they lose-9→ 1596
If they win+9→ 1716
If they lose-15→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johnny EduardoRaphael Assunção
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raphael Assunção83%
Johnny Eduardo 17%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Raphael Assunção a 83% favorite over Johnny Eduardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Raphael Assunção holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1605, a 102-point edge.
Johnny Eduardo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Johnny Eduardo finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Assunção 50%.
Johnny Eduardo and Raphael Assunção share 2 common opponents: Matthew Lopez and Aljamain Sterling.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.