Johnny Munoz Jr. vs Nate Maness
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record16-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach72"
139 lbsWeight125 lbs
C-Quence Jiu-JitsuTeamSalvation Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Nate Maness is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Johnny Munoz Jr. carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1685
If they lose-13→ 1653
If they win+13→ 1749
If they lose-19→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johnny Munoz Jr.Nate Maness
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nate Maness66%
Johnny Munoz Jr. 34%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Nate Maness a 66% favorite over Johnny Munoz Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Nate Maness holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1666, a 70-point edge.
Johnny Munoz Jr. enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nate Maness enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Johnny Munoz Jr. finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Nate Maness 56%.
Johnny Munoz Jr. and Nate Maness share 1 common opponent: Tony Gravely.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.