Johnny Munoz Jr. vs Tony Gravely
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record23-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'5"
71"Reach69"
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
C-Quence Jiu-JitsuTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Tony Gravely is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Johnny Munoz Jr. carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1681
If they lose-15→ 1649
If they win+11→ 1695
If they lose-13→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johnny Munoz Jr.Tony Gravely
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Johnny Munoz Jr. and Tony Gravely within a point of even.
Tony Gravely holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1664, a 20-point edge.
Johnny Munoz Jr. enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tony Gravely enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Johnny Munoz Jr. finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Tony Gravely 57%.
Johnny Munoz Jr. and Tony Gravely share 1 common opponent: Nate Maness.
Johnny Munoz Jr. carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.