Combat Edge Intelligence

Johnny Rees vs Nate Loughran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Johnny Rees
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Johnny Rees

“The Hater Hurter”

13-5-0MiddleweightPMMA

1562Solid

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record11-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
178 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamNor-Cal Fighting Alliance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Johnny ReesNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Nate LoughranNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
64%
Strike accuracy
40%
0.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
48%
Strike defense
60%
1.15
Takedown avg.
0
25%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
2.09

Trajectory

Johnny ReesNate Loughran
1550160020102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
10 (77%)
Submission
8 (73%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Nate Loughran58%
Johnny Rees 42%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Nate Loughran a 58% favorite over Johnny Rees in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1566), separated by just 4 points.

Nate Loughran enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Johnny Rees finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nate Loughran 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.