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Combat Edge Intelligence

Johnny Rhodes vs Patrick Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record20-17-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
210 lbsWeight225 lbs
Team

What's at stake

Johnny Rhodes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Patrick Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Johnny RhodesNow 1529
If they win+22→ 1551
If they lose-26→ 1503
Patrick SmithNow 1502
If they win+13→ 1515
If they lose-11→ 1491

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Johnny RhodesPatrick Smith
145015001995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
13 (65%)
1 (50%)
Submission
6 (30%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Johnny Rhodes54%
Patrick Smith 46%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Rhodes a 54% favorite over Patrick Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Johnny Rhodes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1502, a 27-point edge.

Johnny Rhodes enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Patrick Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Patrick Smith 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.