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Combat Edge Intelligence

Johnny Santos vs Maiquel Falcao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record39-21-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
195 lbsWeight202 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1628 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamRasthai Temple

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Johnny SantosNow 1538
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514
Maiquel FalcaoNow 1537
If they win+12→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.67
Not available
Strike accuracy
56%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.53
Not available
Strike defense
87%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
71%
Not available
Submission avg.
3

Trajectory

Johnny SantosMaiquel Falcao
15001550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
27 (69%)
1 (50%)
Submission
5 (13%)
1 (50%)
Decision
7 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Johnny Santos60%
Maiquel Falcao 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Santos a 60% favorite over Maiquel Falcao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1537), separated by just 1 points.

Johnny Santos enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Maiquel Falcao enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Maiquel Falcao 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.