Johny Hendricks vs Josh Koscheck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
69,0"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team TakedownTeamDethrone Base Camp
What's at stake
Johny Hendricks is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Josh Koscheck carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1715
If they lose-14→ 1691
If they win+14→ 1658
If they lose-10→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johny HendricksJosh Koscheck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johny Hendricks78%
Josh Koscheck 22%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Johny Hendricks a 78% favorite over Josh Koscheck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Johny Hendricks holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1644, a 61-point edge.
Johny Hendricks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Johny Hendricks finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Josh Koscheck 59%.
Johny Hendricks and Josh Koscheck share 2 common opponents: Robbie Lawler and Georges St-Pierre.
Josh Koscheck carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.