Combat Edge Intelligence

Johny Hendricks vs Martin Kampmann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record20-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
69,0"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team TakedownTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Johny Hendricks is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Martin Kampmann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Johny HendricksNow 1705
If they win+10→ 1715
If they lose-14→ 1691
Martin KampmannNow 1634
If they win+19→ 1653
If they lose-13→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.49
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
46%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.28
53%
Strike defense
62%
3.83
Takedown avg.
1.86
47%
Takedown accuracy
41%
64%
Takedown defense
78%
0.33
Submission avg.
2.05

Trajectory

Johny HendricksMartin Kampmann
160016501700175018002011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
1 (6%)
Submission
6 (32%)
9 (50%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Johny Hendricks73%
Martin Kampmann 27%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Johny Hendricks a 73% favorite over Martin Kampmann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Johny Hendricks holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1634, a 71-point edge.

Johny Hendricks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Martin Kampmann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Johny Hendricks finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Martin Kampmann 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.