Combat Edge Intelligence

Johny Hendricks vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
69,0"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team TakedownTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Johny HendricksNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.49
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
46%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
53%
Strike defense
60%
3.83
Takedown avg.
1.02
47%
Takedown accuracy
42%
64%
Takedown defense
53%
0.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Johny HendricksMichał Oleksiejczuk
170017501800201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
1 (6%)
Submission
1 (5%)
9 (50%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk71%
Johny Hendricks 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 71% favorite over Johny Hendricks in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Johny Hendricks's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1705), separated by just 0 points.

Johny Hendricks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Johny Hendricks finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Michał Oleksiejczuk carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.