Johny Hendricks vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record31-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'3"
69,0"Reach80"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team TakedownTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Johny Hendricks carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1719
If they lose-10→ 1695
If they win+10→ 1768
If they lose-14→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johny HendricksNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny72%
Johny Hendricks 28%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 72% favorite over Johny Hendricks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1705, a 53-point edge.
Johny Hendricks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Johny Hendricks finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.
Neil Magny carries a 11-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.