Joilton Lutterbach vs Jordan Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
38-9-0Record12-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach41,0"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team PeregrinoTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-12→ 1694
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joilton LutterbachJordan Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joilton Lutterbach and Jordan Johnson within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1703), separated by just 3 points.
Joilton Lutterbach finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Johnson 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.