Joilton Lutterbach vs Ray Cooper III
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-9-0Record25-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
185 lbsWeight182 lbs
Team PeregrinoTeamLion of Judah
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1714
If they lose-12→ 1690
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joilton LutterbachRay Cooper III
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ray Cooper III52%
Joilton Lutterbach 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ray Cooper III a 52% favorite over Joilton Lutterbach in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1702 vs 1704), separated by just 2 points.
Ray Cooper III enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joilton Lutterbach finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ray Cooper III 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.